The new coronavirus is a black swan flying in 2020! The appearance of this black swan has caused a lot of people to mess with how many companies! But behind every accident is inevitable! Where there is danger, there is a chance!
For example: SARS in 2003, because everyone was afraid to go out, Liu Qiangdong moved the physical stores in Zhongguancun to online, and Ma Yun saw the C-end shopping demand and created Taobao in his favor!
Today in 2020, because the virus is not closed behind the door this time, the physical store is empty, but there are still express delivery and takeaway on the street. Platforms such as Hema Xiansheng, Dingdong shopping for vegetables, and Daily Youxian can't grab vegetables later every day.
So every time there is a big twist, the partner will fall and stand up!This is the iron law of history.
So what is the potential impact of this black swan on the Chinese economy?
Let's also compare with SARS. In 2003, China's SARS GDP was 12 trillion yuan, but 17 years later, China's total GDP has reached 100 trillion yuan.
That is: China's overall anti-risk ability is now nearly 10 times that year! Based on this, I firmly believe that no matter how the virus toss this time, it will not be able to have a turbulent impact on the Chinese economy. It can only bring partial urgency. The Chinese economy is already in a major adjustment. This incident will make the The pace of adjustment is accelerating.
Here are the top 10 acceleration changes:
1
Accelerated substitution of online shopping for offline
shopping.
Although everyone has formed online shopping habits long
ago, after this epidemic, this habit will be deeply explored. We are still used
to going to the market for some kind of food, but after this time, many people
will get used to buying food online.
If only from the perspective of shopping, most of the future
shopping must be completed online, and even transactions generated in online
scenarios will be conducted online. It's like you go to the supermarket to buy
things, you can place an order on the phone, and then you can buy it at home.
2
Accelerated replacement of traditional physical stores with
experiential scenarios.
Now that the shopping is done online, what is the value of a
physical store?
In the future, physical stores will no longer focus on
selling products or providing experiences.
People go to physical stores not to buy things, but to buy various
experiences.
If the physical store still sees itself as a place to buy
and sell, it will lose its existence value. Consumer demand has been upgraded
from satisfying products to spiritual satisfaction.
Businesses need to create an unparalleled consumption
scenario, and integration needs to bring consumers to some kind of fantasy
scenario! As long as the physical store can do this, it must be promising!
3
Online customer acquisition is an accelerated alternative to
traditional customer acquisition.
After this outbreak, many companies have discovered the
nature of online customer acquisition.
No matter what type of business, they must have the ability
to win customers online. Traditional methods of acquiring customers are nothing
more than telephone, advertising, distribution, etc.
But these models have less and less initiative, and the cost
will be higher and higher.
In the future, various online platform conferences will
become more and more open. There are various forms such as graphics, short
videos, and audio. You must create opportunities to attract customers.
4
Online education is an accelerated replacement of
traditional education.
Just as the Internet changes the product flow path, the
Internet also changes the path of knowledge transmission. After this epidemic,
many people have become accustomed to studying at home. Traditional learning,
training institutions must accelerate the transformation.
In the past, knowledge dissemination could only take place
in the classroom, and teachers could only give lectures to dozens or more and
hundreds of people. Teachers can now keep up with tens of thousands or even
hundreds of thousands of people to teach online. These students come from all
over the country, including backward mountainous areas, as long as they have
the Internet.
This is the core advantage of online education, which makes
the advantaged education resources commoner, and this is exactly the core
problem of solving Chinese education.
5
The accelerated replacement of online office for traditional
office.
If the epidemic lasts 2-3 months, a large number of people
will be accustomed to working from home, and the future will be an era of
individual rise. A large number of individuals will develop independently from
the company. It can be predicted that the office leasing market in 2020 will be
further depressed.
Different kinds of online office software will accelerate
the popularity, especially the individual collaborative office software will be
accelerated. In addition, individual use of office furniture will also be
popular, and our work will no longer be limited by geospatial space in the
future.
The more developed the society, the stronger the
independence of people. In the future, people with ability will become
independent economies, and the cooperation between people will be strengthened.
Collaborating online is the mainstream of future work.
6
Free-to-charge accelerated replacement.
The epidemic situation of Xu Yan's "Aunt" suddenly
gave up the theater and switched to free online viewing. It was the first of
its kind in China's film industry. This is inevitable, because online free is
the general trend!
With the development of society, more and more things will
start to be free for the future, and more and more profits will start to be
infinitely close to zero. So what do businesses rely on to make profits?
Backward by fees. In the future, the profits of goods can be moved backwards
and forwards, and even hidden. Although some "Aunts" are free, they
can be viewed more by people, so advertisements can be charged more, so movie
derivatives can also make money.
7
The accelerated replacement of traditional medicine by
new-type medicine.
This outbreak allows us to see the nature of the scientific
medical system. At least the initial news from Wuhan was about the shortage of
medical resources.
I believe that after this epidemic, China's medical system
reform will be accelerated, and some countries announced the first free
treatment for patients diagnosed with the virus.
So how will the Internet and private resources participate
in the next healthcare reform? How to connect between different regions? Need a
detailed discussion afterwards.
8
The accelerated replacement of traditional cities by smart
cities.
Cities are an important carrier of human civilization. This
epidemic is a city with a population of tens of millions in Wuhan. It is a
thoroughfare in nine provinces and was closed during the Spring Festival. It is
indeed a rare event in human history.
If the situation of every citizen in Wuhan is grasped,
everyone can be accurately tracked, and each population can be located, then we
will be more orderly in handling this, which is the value of smart cities.
Smart cities include: traffic management, logistics supply
chain, emergency disaster recovery, information traceability, etc., will be
fully data-based, and even artificial intelligence disaster recovery prediction
will be available. This reflects the management level of the whole society. I
believe that after this epidemic, China will take a big step forward in smart
cities!
9
The accelerated replacement of traditional governance by
advanced governance.
Cities are part of society. With smart cities, there will be
more scientific governance methods. Once we experience this epidemic, our
governance methods will also be reformed. It's complicated, but it's really
late anyway.
Caused us to be negligent in the early stage of the
epidemic, so what ways will we take to avoid similar things in the future?
Advanced governance is based on facts, and everything takes
the lives and property of the people as the first consideration. It is believed
that after this epidemic, the country will also learn lessons, sum up and
continue.
10
The accelerated replacement of the old lifestyle by the new
lifestyle.
In the past, we only focused on making money and sacrificing
health for the sake of making money. We advocated 996 work and rest, but after
this virus, our perception has completely changed. , And now both of these
challenges exist.
Everyone finally found out that: immunity is the biggest
competition for human beings, and it can destroy business logic and reduce
dimensionality. Physical health will be a key indicator of personal value in
the future, and we may now know how to live.
These are the top 10 changes, and they will accelerate!
Every time we experience difficulties, we will be strong
once and grow once. We will never be beaten, but will be stronger. Since
ancient times, the Chinese nation has been a disaster-ridden nation and an indomitable
nation.
This kind of daring to fight, not afraid to lose,
unconvinced is our national spirit.
For enterprises, all the great companies in the world have
experienced two world wars, and we are now undergoing two viral baptisms. I
believe that some companies will reach a new level!
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